Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 0.426078 0.491372 0.562357 0.645133 0.738875 0.841608 0.962583
2025-09-21 0.305415 0.392211 0.495893 0.628274 0.792147 0.987640 1.237749
2025-09-28 0.238119 0.331521 0.451199 0.614512 0.830095 1.103284 1.473758
2025-10-05 0.203068 0.302078 0.436387 0.629739 0.898356 1.255303 1.761827
2025-10-12 0.182164 0.286917 0.436140 0.660949 0.986989 1.437744 2.101850
2025-10-19 0.161643 0.268357 0.427336 0.676941 1.053239 1.592224 2.413239
2025-10-26 0.142729 0.248967 0.414001 0.683220 1.103816 1.726056 2.703028
2025-11-02 0.125485 0.229448 0.397486 0.681664 1.140673 1.840454 2.970338
2025-11-09 0.109502 0.209580 0.377644 0.671849 1.162359 1.931718 3.207068
2025-11-16 0.096032 0.192061 0.359344 0.661965 1.181863 2.019403 3.442396
2025-11-23 0.082721 0.172874 0.335756 0.640143 1.178713 2.069293 3.619100
2025-11-30 0.079295 0.171805 0.343999 0.674398 1.273084 2.284089 4.077557
2025-12-07 0.069061 0.156212 0.324270 0.656944 1.276846 2.349694 4.295872
2025-12-14 0.060141 0.142015 0.305554 0.639414 1.278873 2.412469 4.514100
2025-12-21 0.052818 0.130057 0.289691 0.625401 1.285567 2.482979 4.749280
2025-12-28 0.049292 0.125897 0.288982 0.640870 1.348711 2.658017 5.180191
2026-01-04 0.047553 0.125542 0.296069 0.672582 1.445436 2.900149 5.746584
2026-01-11 0.044614 0.121931 0.295756 0.688830 1.512712 3.091549 6.230805
2026-01-18 0.041182 0.116608 0.291058 0.695210 1.560369 3.248498 6.659475
2026-01-25 0.037538 0.110188 0.283111 0.693629 1.591223 3.374538 7.036088
2026-02-01 0.033731 0.102748 0.271923 0.683657 1.603454 3.464510 7.347895
2026-02-08 0.030335 0.095862 0.261216 0.673615 1.614471 3.552297 7.659874
2026-02-15 0.026643 0.087540 0.245988 0.651442 1.597001 3.580906 7.855253